PolyCroakast
Stay one step ahead of Polymarket. Live tweet pace, scenario calculator, and probability edge for Elon's markets. 🔮
✨ 100% free — built for the Polymarket community
What PolyCroakast gives you
Everything we build is free at launch. 🎉
Pace Tracker
Live count of Elon's tweets and the rate needed to hit each bucket. Know if 240–259 is still alive at a glance.
Profit Calculator
Tap any YES or NO and see your real net profit — priced from Polymarket's live order book (true average fill + slippage). Stack buckets for spread plays.
Probability Edge
Our model's probability vs. the live Polymarket price. Spot mispriced buckets in real time.
Hourly Heatmap
When does Elon post? Heatmap by hour and day, scoped to each market — click any slot to read the actual tweets behind it.
Free Signals · X + Telegram
We post model-vs-price opportunities to Telegram and X: single picks, multi-bucket spread plays, and updates as the odds move. Follow to catch every edge.
Historical Results
Past weeks, final buckets, and what Polymarket priced them at. Learn the market's biases.
Pace Tracker
Live count of Elon's tweets and the rate needed to hit each bucket. Know if 240–259 is still alive at a glance.
Profit Calculator
Tap any YES or NO and see your real net profit — priced from Polymarket's live order book (true average fill + slippage). Stack buckets for spread plays.
Probability Edge
Our model's probability vs. the live Polymarket price. Spot mispriced buckets in real time.
Hourly Heatmap
When does Elon post? Heatmap by hour and day, scoped to each market — click any slot to read the actual tweets behind it.
Free Signals · X + Telegram
We post model-vs-price opportunities to Telegram and X: single picks, multi-bucket spread plays, and updates as the odds move. Follow to catch every edge.
Historical Results
Past weeks, final buckets, and what Polymarket priced them at. Learn the market's biases.
Get the signals — free 🐸
Model-vs-price picks, spread plays and live updates as Elon posts — straight to your feed. No account needed.
1 · Choose a market
2 · Duration
3 · Period
Elon Musk # tweets October 31 - November 2, 2026?
Resolves Monday, Nov 2, 5:00 PM UTC
Our own real-time counter (includes reposts & deletion tracking).
Model = chance the count lands in the bucket at the active prediction rate · Edge = model − market price (green = YES looks underpriced)
Live prices · reconnecting… · Source: Polymarket
Our own real-time counter (includes reposts & deletion tracking).
Activity heatmap
Charts
Scoped to the selected market window
Tap a day to see its hourly breakdown.
Total tweets
0
Avg / day
0.0
Busiest day
—
0 tweets
Mix %
0·0·0
orig · repost · quote